Sad thing is that due the variance, some of us are incredibly unlucky. When you enter 10bb/100 winrate to variance simulator, you can see that most simulations make profit. But there are some that are going down, despite their expected value is 10bb/100 profits. This can happen due to being unlucky in all-in situations and getting coolers and setups. In this simulator it made 20 simulations, and I clicked it couple of times to get the worst run go negative. So in a way, one out of hundred winning players will have a run like to brown line (worst) has in here:
What I am saying is that it is possible that OP is just incredibly unlucky. If the total sample size is under 100K hands, it's more likely than if the same case is after 300K hands. But for most recreationals getting even 100K hands is a loooong time.
Theory of PLO2 being rigged is just absurd. Why would PokerStars make you a losing player, as the winning goes to another player (not the PokerStars)? To make at least a little sense that opponent should be run by PokerStars. So you are claiming that PokerStars has bots/house players at PLO2 and PLO5, who can see future cards and/or manipulate rng (=future cards). But they don't exist at PLO10 or higher as tracking softwares would detect them.
First question is why? Of course after Black Friday we can't think that "they are not cheating as they already make a lot of money without cheating" as human greed is a powerful force. But if they actually would risk the whole business by doing that, why would they settle down for PLO2 where they can make few dollars while at the same time there are tables where they can make thousands of dollars in single hands? Or in tournaments where the detection is even harder?
If someone is clever and greedy enough to run a scam to risk the multi-billion money making business, it just doesn't make sense to risk those billions to win couple of hundred bucks.
And as always, how stupid can one be if he knows that games are rigged but still plays them? Change site. Or are you saying that every network, every skin and every game provider is in the same collusion where they all scam money from PLO2?
If you are running 280 buyins under EV then there are only 3 options:
- Your tracking software is broken (likely)
- There's something fishy going on (unlikely)
- You are unlucky (VERY unlikely)
I know that there are bots at PLO that run over EV in trackers as they know mucked holecards (and therefore have more information than the tracking software for probablities) and I know that they can be playing at micros too. So to say that when someone is running way over EV it's 100% due to luck, that isn't necessarily the truth. But hundreds of buyins...
Please post the graphs of your opponents and you, so we can continue the discussion.