Yes, that's what I am talking about! It is such a crazy factor that your standard/default play is rock solid and good from a theoretical point of view, as it takes you quite some time to get a decent sample on the regs.
The only two stats that are ALWAYS shown in my HUD are VPIP/PFR. All the others just show up when I have sample. Like cB Flop after xxx hands, 3b after xxx hands, 4b after xxxx hands and so on. As long as I have no sample I just treat all players the same and play my default. Some stats correlate ofc and you can make the first adjustments a bit earlier, but mostly I just play my default.

Sup guys!

Last sessions went pretty good. I really tried to make the most valueable decision on every street and it worked out well, we also hit a nice little upswing, which results into an overall profit of 640 bucks after 30k hands post rakeback (which obv is a joke on stars). So 20k more hands to gor and we're done with the deal for now. But we already talk about how we want to move on from there and there are quite some good possibilities, so we will see. We will continue working together, and that is for sure, but as I said, we are not a 100% sure how the future will look like.
Anyways, I don't know what to tell at the moment, as nothing really special is happening. Every day is more or less the same, if you have any questions, just feel free to ask

Randfom hands:

#1
I really do hate everything about this hand Flop size: meh, Turn bet: meh, Turn jam: Oh jeez. Villain is 27/22/11 with 27 CO RIF and -12bb/100 over a large sample. He is kind of a wannabe LAG. Coldcaller is Fish. Flop we should raise way larger as Reg shouldn't be light here 3way with fish behind. So I guess raise flop PS is good. Turn I really don't know. He has all KQ, Q9s that call once more, but also he has all JT, 99, QQ and KK. I am not sure if whe can bet here clearly for value or if we can take the x/c line. I mean obv fish stacks off worse, but even with the losing reg, I don't think he is so bad that he happily jams his AQ in here. Guess b/c turn not a huge mistake, but kinda sucks tho.




#2
Villain is unknown but seems to be a bit on the more reggish/tightish side. What is your guys worst hand that you b/c turn, x/c river with? Guess if he decides to raise a 7, which are a super small part of his range anyway, he has to raise some backdoors as well. In general, not a flop you would love to raise a bunch imo. Result... yea, dunno what he was thinking. I always try to understand why they do certain things, as I don't want to prejudge anyone, and I really don't think most of them are just random brainless buttonclickers. But I neither do understand why he wants to raise her, nor do I understand his exact combo. No clue.



#3
Against more aggro fish. Not like pot pot pot kind of fish, but saw some raises and 3b already post and pre. Against his Stacksize, is anybody only calling
the flop OOP? Guess there a quite a lot cards we don't want to see, so b/j maybe best?

Gonna get me some pizza now and chill out. Will start a session later maybe but dunno. Already had 3hrs of coaching today, so we will se.

Good luck at the tables!

Nice work buddy! Shaping up to be a good month

First losing session since one week is in the books guys, I just played close to 3k hands and lost 2 buy ins. Made 2 or 3 very weak calldowns where I completely misread where I am in my range. Not very proud. Some standard set ups also didn't go my way, but at least I converted some points, which makes a net loss of 15 buck in the end.

#1
He is being a nit so far, but the only value hand that makes sense is 88, he is not calling 33 there,SBvsMP. Guess his range is weighted towards draws. Nits tend to slowplay their draws mostly, but sometimes raise their stronger ones. In game his excat combo came to my mind at first, and I dunno how I can raise turn in way, that won't lead to some kind of awkward stacksize OTR. I don't want to just call, as we let him realize his equity then for a price, that is way too good and prolly he shuts down at the end anyways, if he doesn't hit.




#2
Here I am relly not sure what to do. I don't see him cbetting all of his AT. I don't see him 2nd barreling worse than Tx for value. At least not with that size. Some of them may have there KK/QQ occasionally and see themselves comitted against a shove. Good thing with shoving turn is, that we are freerolling all of his Tx and have some equity if he has the nuts. Maybe could just call, but do we ever fold OTR then? Can't find some good bluffs OTT, somaybe GTO-wise calling is best? Villain was unknown so far.




#3
River Size? Maybe just jam, but whith a smaller sizing we can go thinner and raise more... hm. Maybe 2 sizing plan? So just jam NF and like JhTx and raise 3x with all the other flushes and Ah9x typ of hands? Really not sure what is best...



A friend is coming over to visit later, so I guess we will have some beers and so, so no poker until tomorrow night maybe. See ya around

Another 10k hands to go in the staking, we are running with 6bb pre RB so far, could be better, could be worse, but no sample anyways. We will see how the last 20% turn out. Should be done by the end of the month I guess

With 6k hands more to go, we just hit the 4-digit profit mark Will post a big update by the end of the week, maybe sunday or so. Stay tuned!

pre raise 3x with deepstack fish in the blinds.
flop you could pot. you have a nut draw deep.
If fish donks this turn he usually has improved somewhat or just has some random straightdraw. I don't really see him donking too much random stuff OTT. you have nuts so raise for sure. you can raise even bigger he will not fold pair+ fd or any kind of 2pair
river I don't think he has a lot of onepair hands here unless he is just yolodonking everywhere. I was about to write jam for sure but he has all the offsuit FH K5/T5/85 which he donks OTT pretty frequently and almost no trips but every flush and maybe something like KT and some TT/88. so it gets pretty thin to shove, he might not donk all flushes OTT.
I think you can still jam 2.1x pot here, he might end up calling with some random KT or Kx or whatever, maybe some Xh5 and then just any flush and the FH and then it goes from thin to very good.
sizingplan wise you have a hand that wants to play for stacks pretty frequently so make sure to have an okish stack to pot ratio OTR.
like I said (bigger pre,) pot flop and raise turn so big that you have about 1x-1.5x pot behind OTR (so $10-$12).
when he doesn't donk turn it's a bit tougher to get in stacks but most of the hands that you stack will be raised somewhere in the hand anway. so you could just go pot pot pot with hands like A7hh he also has a lot more pairlike hands in his range if he doesn't donk turn.




yes checkraise much bigger and 2 street it.
OTT phew they both have all JT and all better sets I think you can't even bet really.



pre if SB shorty is the spot just raise 3x.
flop good.
he has not a ton 7x BUvCO but still some vs 2x (97s,87s,76s,75s,A7s, maybe K7s or T7s) and then you beat every Ax that he has which is a lot more. in general just go for 3/4 to pot on this turn.
vs raise, some will never bluff some will always bluff too much. it's super explo spot.
he has no real all in sizing plan here which he should have if he has 7x but whatever just looks a bit random he also shouldnt be able to raise a ton here. anyway low sets available, no better 2pairs. just some 7x I doubt he raises all OTT so some randombluffs and you are good especially if he is Russian


pre big openraise, good.
flop: I don't like calling here oop. he has too much equity available just shove.





pre good
flop good
turn is just not a value shove. just call.


hey man haven't checked out the blog in a while!




river potsize raise if thats close to all in, jam. you are very polar here.

Thank you very much for the deep analysis! Much appreciated

Ok guys, sry 4 being late once more, but here we go:

First of all, staking graph




As u can see, I've been on a bit of a BE stretch @ the beginning, but then things went very well. In my last session I just played bad. I was very tired, but just wanted to complete in September and just get it finally done. I also had an head ache and made terrible calls -.- Jeez, I really hated myself^^ Anyways, with RB we're up a bit over 1k, so nothing to complain I guess.

For the future, we decided that we won't work together anymore. It is not because me or my coach weren't pleased with the other, but it is just not lucrative enough, neither for me nor my coach. He is mainly a fulltime pro, not a coach, so his hourly grinding is way better than coaching and I just had to give up to much of my winnings, which makes climbing up in stakes quickly very hard. Anyways, we obv stay good friends and he is willing to help me, whenever I need a hand. We still have daily contact via skype, so everythings fine.

With the winnings I was allowed to keep, I then went deep in the grind for 3 days, mainly playing 10nl zoom. This also went very well




I obv can't deny that running over EV ridiciulously helped

After having some kind of a roll "again" I then looked for a nice little FDB and RB deal on a smaller site. N8 just seemd to good to be true, so... 4 days ago I transferd some chunks over there.
Natural8: As you can see in the deal section, N8 is a chinese/far east site, where you don't have to register with your real life data, you just make up an account and they help you through their Facebook support. This seemed a bit scammy at first sight, but until now I am happy with N8.
There are 4-5 guys, where I am 100% sure that they are bots, they play super super good (too good) for random 10nl guys and they act always in the same time frame. But I guess botting is just one thing you have to accept, when you play on one of those smaller sites (basically it isn't, they're part of the GG Network, which is quite big in asia and the south eastern pacific). But the genereal player is just super bad. The regs all play like 2008, some of them even do the good old small PP/SC UTG limps and stuff But although 99% of the players are just bad/worse/worst, I couldn't make any profit at all. To the contrary, I even lost -.- But today I had a big winning session, with almost 10 stacks in the good + some RB (35% flat you get when you sign up with PVIP). Another bad thing is, that the traffic is not that good at european night times (like now) but super good early through midday. But that is when I am at university (yes I am still studying). So I will hopefully make some more profit next week, and then move on to unibet. They have a pretty good FDB/RB deal, and players are even worse (at least this is what everbody is telling me).

I kinda enjoy grinding HUDless. On Stars I had lots of hands on the regs, but I never used it that much. Most of the eastern europeans and southern americans are all the same. They are not very "creative" and don't distinguish that much. That said, you shoulda work out a solid default gameplan that works and stick with it. I only needed my HUD in very specific situations, like turn x/r 3bP and so. But for the situations most of us consider as "standard", you're better off sticking with the as well "standard" pool exlpoits, like heavily overfold to river jams, 3b tons and so on... Don't get me wrong, the correct use of an HUD may be very helpful, but most of us will over-adapt (me included) and that is just a very bad thing to do.
So Gampelan+Toy-GTO-approach+pool exploits >>> excessive HUD use and over-adaption in my eyes.

Future plans: My coach, who is part of the i300 stable (Paul Ottos coaching group) told Paul, that everything in our staking went very good. And although i300 is quite full am, he is willing to accept me in November. I already sent an application 1/2 year ago that was rejected, due to the huge amount of people already in. So if nothing goes wrong, I will be a part of i300 soon, which is just amazing.

My plans: I really can't say what I want to achieve with all that poker stuff. I am definitely not planning to be a pro or so. I told Felix (my good friend and coach) that I would be super happy with grinding NL100 with a solid winrate one day, which surprised him, as he said something like "Why only NL100? You have to go for the real money stakes dude!" I found that quite amusing
But anyways, goal setting in poker is kinda hard, because when you fail, you may be very upset with yourself and start to tilt or burn out or whatever. I don't have any goals in poker, so I will just go on from now, and then see where the journey ends.
What I can say, I am somewhat proud of it, that I am a solid winner at all stakes up to 25nl and an okayish guy at 50nl. Yes, he last time I played 50 is like 10 month ago and yes, I did not have that much of a sample there. But 50 is not that different than 25, so without being cocky, I would guess that I am a slight winner there. I played 325k hands in one year now, with an profit of 5k€. When I looked at my yearly graph, I was kinda upset, as I assumed it to be a bit more, but anyways, with a solid volume (I lag there, due to all the forced cash outs) I am definitely able to make 10k a year grinding micros, which sounds ok.

So now, making those 10k/year 20, 50 or even 100k should be my next "goal" I guess I am very excited where this will end, hopefully so are you, so lean back and enjoy

There will be no update here for the following weeks, except something special happens. I am just too busy with studying/grinding, but I keep you updated whenever I feel like writing some lines.

All the best guys, thank you for following and may the variance be with you

Dom

Any news on how this is going?