5NL - KK vs. Turn raise

Posted 7 years ago

Interesting spot here. We cbet .25c and get called. On T we face a raise and we...?

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Posted 7 years ago
Any reads?


Highly exploitable fold for me here readless if no. I know their line doesn't make much sense for value other than a slow played set, but given my huge history at the micros so many players bluff and in the long-run they'll always turn up with a monster. The other option is to call the turn raise and c-give up on the river. If they are bluffing very few regs have the balls at these stakes to shove bluff the river.
Posted 7 years ago
Exploitable fold for me too, safe in the knowledge we're not being exploited very often.

Go into your database. Filter for hands where you get raised on the turn and note how often your opponent wasn't raising a hand for value. Even if they're behind your actual hand, it doesn't matter. You will struggle to find more than 20% total bluffs.
Posted 7 years ago
Sorry, readless.

Good points above. Looking at this spot it really doesn't make much sense for him to raising with anything less than a "strong" hand at these stakes. I think it's pretty unlikely he's doing this with AJ or similar JX hands - I see those hands calling down, which they usually do. It's likely 2P+ and we can safely fold.