AJo vs 3bet and 3 barrels NL100

Posted 7 years ago

Interesting river decision here. We cant do anything different until the river. This is anon table and population is re-stealing here with roughly 12% range.

Folding here will obv be terrible for our range, but, will river call be EV+?
Do we need to change our range and add more strong hands like AK,QQ+ in our calling range pre so that we can defend these boards better?

Hand Conversion Powered by WeakTight Poker Hand History Converter
$0.50/$1 No Limit Holdem Prima
4 Players

Blinds$0.50/$14
CO Player1 $96.92
DHero $101.50
SB Player3 $106.73
BB Player5 $206.09
Preflop
4$1.50Hero is BTNAJ
1 fold, Hero raises to $2.50, Player3 raises to $9, 1 fold, Hero calls$6.50
Flop
2$195QA
Player3 bets $10, Hero calls$10
Turn
2$39K
Player3 bets $20, Hero calls$20
River
2$79A
Player3 goes all-in $67.73
Final Pot$146.73

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Turlock

Last Post 7 years ago by

Turlock

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Posted 7 years ago
obv we dont know who are we playing against but when we just call the 3bet, we dont have KK AQ AK KK and we dont have A5 so we have no value hands to call with here so he should 3 barrel everything profitable so that`s why i think we can call AJ here, wich is pretty much top of our range (if we dont trap preflop with a big hand), AJ being better than JT since we block one of his value cards
Posted 7 years ago
I think most players / regs will be and or should be mixing up BTN play by flatting AK QQ+ at least some of the time especially if they're paying attention even on anonymous.

On anonymous tables I think we need to weight our decisions more heavily based on player pool tendadnices rather than being worried about being exploited folding strong portions of our range. Going off that thought process I very much doubt this is going to be a +ev call on this type of board with this holding.

I would say that a high percentage of the player pool are flatting AQ on the BTN and I would also say that a similar amount are far too passive to be triple barrelling on this runout with anything less than TJ+

With that in mind SB will be far less tempted to fire 3 without a hand here and BTN should sway to being really disciplined and folding anything less than a turned straight even with a hand that is seemingly v strong given the situation.

( a coach from RIO gave this NFL reference in a similar situation that sums it up I think "this hand is like the New York Jets of hands, it's going to fluke a win every once In a while but is going to be crushed way more often " (likely not enough to be breaking even 😉)

Not sure if I've answered what you were asking or made My thoughts but I gave it a go 🤓
Posted 7 years ago
would call river, in this spot AQ and AJ is top of mine range. i think there is no need to slow play with QQ,AK on anonymous table, if you want to mixed up you could call only with AKs to protect range.
Posted 7 years ago
What hand do we expect him to bluff with that takes this line? I think he checks most Qx, like QJ QT. If he has KQ he most likely checks river? If he has cbet a hand like KT KJ i think he checks river? Just so hard to find good bluff hands for him here that takes this line. He can play maybe TT T9s or J9s or something like this, but thats few combos.

AA,QQ,TT,AQs+,A5s,JTs,AQo+ vs AcJh and we have 31,58%

If we have JTs we only have 19% so I think like @creTzu said that we should fold str8 at least.

So my next question then is. What bluff hands makes sence for him to go 3 streets with here?
Posted 7 years ago
If we do choose to call with AK QQ how detrimental would it be to our 4 bet range? We can still balance just fine I assume, but are we not missing too many spots where we can stack off against a dominated hand?

As for his bluff range, I agree there's not a lot that makes sense but as a default I would be happy to give him credit and make the fold until I have a better idea of how he's playing.