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Opponent is a donk witha 57VP. Should I be betting the turn and do I have the right odds/implied dds to call the turn raise?

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$0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem iPoker
5 Players

Blinds$0.25/$0.505
UTG RedPandass $97
CO thoma058 $56.38
D webSTAR33 $50.50
SB JNSP1113 $185.18
BBHero $81.08

Preflop
5$0.75Hero is BBAQ
1 fold, thoma058 raises to $1.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $5.50, thoma058 calls $4

Flop
2$11.7569K
Hero bets$5.62, thoma058 calls $5.62

Turn
2$22.99T
Hero bets$11.24, thoma058 raises to $25, Hero calls$13.76

River
2$72.99K
Hero checks, thoma058 bets $12.38, Hero folds

Final Pot$81.87

thoma058 wins $81.87 (net +$33.37)
Hero lost$36.12

Last Post 7 years ago by

Turlock

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https://www.pokervip.com/thread/view?forum=poker-strategy&slug=aq-50nl&nav=581fa62ed39043e66f8b456b

Think I'm giving up the flop against a 57vpip, we completely missed the flop and have nothing but a back door straight. I don't expect them to fold 9x or better, and we are just bloating the pot with a very weak hand.

Turn bet looks spewy to me, don't expect we fold too much and draws all call again, would just c-f and I'd be folding once raised.

I dont think im cbetting this wide here. Think you will have to much air in your range if you do. Try having at least one diamond in your hand and the hand will be easier to play. Dont think the turnbarrel in a vacum is good without firing river too.

Looks ridiculously spewy for me.

Yet your asking the question about odds......Clearly your not getting the immediate odds to call the raise and how are you getting implied odds on the turn by calling? He has 13/14 dollars left!

He's priced in for the $14 left so he's priced in so there are implied odds. I've just run the maths and I think it's actually pretty marginal.

@w34z3l What do you think to the hand?

I'd fold the flop and nearly always the turn; no need to fight a 57vpip for it, we can do better with better opportunities and barreling versus these guys with nothing much is just gonna hurt.

I'm check folding this flop against anyone who doesn't fold a ton to c bets in 3 bet pots. I don't expect barely any fold equity even before we take into account that villain is a fish. I would want at least a diamond to give me more turns to barrel effectively.

Once he raises the turn I'm insta folding.

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