mid set on straight-looking board

Posted 8 years ago

Right, so i've had two hands very much like this in the last couple of days, and i wanna know if im playing it right or not. The hand was played in 10nl on Unibet, so i'll write it manually:

First off I'm MP with 15.50€ and i get dealt 8s8h. SB and BB both have about 10€

I open 0.30€ and get called by both SB and BB.

Flop (0.90€): 7d 9h 8d

SB checks, BB bets 0.67€

i re-raise to 2.50€. SB folds, BB shoves, and i call.

turn and river comes 7d 9h 8d 3h Ts


BB shows 5h 6h




So i raise the way i did to make it tough for any draws out there (im thinking it's definitely possible for the enemies to have Ts in their hand) i considered the possibility of them to have JT in which case i would be screwed, but other than that mostly, i figured, i'd be ahead. Is my thought process right or wrong? any response is welcome Smile


PS: i didn't have any great reads on the players, so i treated them as unkowns. Their stacks are 100BB which is usually at least an indicator of regs, but i often see scrubs with 100BBs aswell, so...




IceMachine

Last Post 8 years ago by

IceMachine

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Posted 8 years ago
I'd say it's just a cooler, but I think it's fine to get it in here on the flop. You still had runner-runner draw outs to a straight, pair outs to improve to a FH and the 2 remaining 8's. I think you're ahead a lot of the time despite the unfavorable flop. I'd take the same line here too.
Posted 8 years ago
yeah alright then Smile was thinking it was a cooler too. just wanted to know if the line was good Smile
Posted 8 years ago
I think it's a bit of a cooler. I think the raise is standard on such a wet board. I'm not sure you can fold to the shove when you beat a lot of the hands he can be shoving for value.

If we give villain a tight value range (and I think it would be much wider at 10NL) of JT, TT (OESD), 99, 98, 77 and 65 we still have 44% equity against that nuttish range. So given €10 effective starting stacks there's €4.07 in the pot before he shoves, we need to call €7.2 to win €13.1 so we need to be right 35% of the time to break even. As you can see we're actually at 44% so this is a +ev call and should be profitable in the long term. If we include more stuff in his range like slow played overpairs and flush draws and potential bluffs then this become even more profitable.

I hope this helps.
Posted 8 years ago
thanks for taking the time to do some math on this Smile sounds like my gut wasn't way off then Smile
Posted 8 years ago
thanks for taking the time to do some math on this Smile sounds like my gut wasn't way off then Smile
Posted 8 years ago
No problem. I like doing the maths Smile