nl10 2d7d

Posted 8 years ago

Anon v weak/tight passive trappy type regish. Call, check/c, check/c, bet the nuts, one of those.

Flop: this is the third time villain has raised a paired flop versus me BU v BB, I think it must be his 'move'.

Turn: checked for disguise adn a bit of pot control, if villain gets fruity it gives me kicker problems.
I 'm very unlikely to get three streets, but maybe I should have just bet bet bet and if villain folds meh, whatever, I don't know.

Get to the river, how much to raise? I debated shoving it but that may be a bit optimistic? If the board had more paint I'd be more inclined towards that.

Thanks.

Hand Conversion Powered by WeakTight Poker Hand History Converter
$0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem Prima
5 Players

Blinds 0.5BB/1BB5
UTG $42.5BB
CO $161BB
DHero $100BB
SB $109.7BB
BB $100BB
Preflop
5$1.5BBHero is BTN27
2 folds, Hero raises to 2BB, 1 fold, BB calls 1BB
Flop
2$4.5BB747
BB checks, Hero bets2.5BB, BB raises to 8BB, Hero calls5.5BB
Turn
2$20.5BBT
BB checks, Hero checks
River
2$20.5BB7
BB bets 10BB, (Hero)?
PandaLife

Last Post 8 years ago by

PandaLife

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Posted 8 years ago
Hello there,
First of all I wouldn't be opening 27s even on the button unless the blinds are folding too much to steals from the BTN.

On the flop bet call is good, I don't see any reason to 3bet or something crazy like that.

On the turn the check could be both good and bad, a bet is good because we want to protect against his single spade hands but in this case I think it's ok to check back because he has more of those made flushes in his range so we just take a free card and if he doesn't have it maybe induce a bluff on the river.

The river is obviously awesome but it is questionable what raise size we should use. I actually don't think shoving is bad because it does look like a bluff a bit more but to be realistic we almost never hold a bluff here if we raise. I'd just shove and hope he calls with some kind of a full house and maybe a flush if he thinks we're crazy. I don't think he suspects we have a 7 here very often.
Posted 8 years ago
fold pre, no need to open 72s even against the given player type. Only exception I would make is against super nits, where we auto profit by raising any two. I like the check on the turn and once we make 4 of a kind on the river I'm jamming this all day long. Don't think he's ever folding a FH and I think he has a lot of them given his line.
Posted 8 years ago
I love the open if you know there both folding too much and that it's profitable by the maths. I actually like betting small here to try and value a flush and induce. I don't think he has big pairs in his range.
Posted 8 years ago
Thanks all, I steal atc sooooted along with 'other' until they tell me not to. Smile

In the end I decided to ship it and he tank/folded. What he could tank/fold there I don't know after betting but there y'go.

Posted 8 years ago
I think the open pre is too loose but can be ok if the blinds are way too tight. It's unlikely you have enough of a sample to determine that at anon tables though.

I'd raise to something like 30-40bb on the river. It's incredibly hard for him to have a good full hours on the river (x/r flop with some sort of Tx?) and I think that's a size that will get some calls from stuff like flushes and 88 type hands. It also lets him bluffshove over your raise which, while rare, will happen a non-zero amount of the time.
Posted 8 years ago
Just make it like 35-55 otr depending on villain etc., but given his line I would make it on the smaller side here. Jamming river is just too big in this spot and will never get the right amount of calls unless villain is a huge whale, there are many spots where we can make big jams on rivers at these stakes, but raising small has to have a higher EV in this one imo.

But yeah, start out by folding pre next time, there are lots of other suited hands we can profitable raise on the button, don't think people fold enough to make 72s a steal.