NL10 AA

Posted 7 years ago

Fishy villain makes a raise on the flop in a 3bet pot... usually in general these aren't bluffing spots.
Do you think he min raises with a draw?
Do I need to be raise shoving in a high variance spot vs such a guy?

Me(SB) $10.26
Player 6(BB) $15.90 - VP:72 PFR:12 AF:3.2 W:28|43 STL:17|57 3B:12|0 CB:|50 N:12.12 Hands:43
Player 1(UTG) $15.94 - VP:16 PFR:11 AF:Inf. W:17|100 STL:100|80 3B:0|0 CB:50| N:-0.04 Hands:44
Player 2(CO) $10.28 - VP:9 PFR:7 AF:Inf. W:38|67 STL:100|100 3B:0|100 CB:0| N:-0.60 Hands:44
Player 3(BTN) $9.77 - VP:14 PFR:11 AF:2.0 W:43|100 STL:60|100 3B:0|0 CB:0| N:-2.05 Hands:44



Pre Flop: Me(SB) with [Ad,As]
Player 1(UTG) folds,
Player 2(CO) folds,
Player 3(BTN) raises 0.25,
Me(SB) raises to 0.90,
Player 6(BB) calls 0.80,
Player 3(BTN) calls 0.65


Flop: (9h,2s,Th)(3 players)
Pot - 2.70
Me(SB) bets 1.20,
Player 6(BB) raises 2.40,
Player 3(BTN) folds,
Me(SB) ?
thetallpaul

Last Post 7 years ago by

thetallpaul

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Posted 7 years ago
Looks like an easy stack off against a 72/12. Can see them over playing JJ-QQ and Tx here for sure.

I would go ahead and shove the rest of the chips in, enough draws and worse hands calling.
Posted 7 years ago
I think shoving is likely best.

With all the draws and worse overpairs he can get it in with I can't see a problem. It's also a board that even bad players know people bluff raise on and he'll be trying it on some % as well.
Posted 7 years ago
3b bigger pre to reduce the postflop SPR and make it easier to stack off and get the money in. Make them call off 10% or more of their stack pre so you can just get it in on flops / turns and it is not going to be more of a mistake than if you are 3b smaller and playing deeper. He is loose but this is often going to be a spot where you can't expect to have him crushed more than 60% of the time. 40% of the time expect him to have AKhh AQhh TT 99 or sometimes a horribly played JJ QQ AT etc also.

If you look at what makes this spot difficult it is that you are deeper relative to the pot than what you are comfortable getting it in with, so correct this by 3b bigger so it makes it easier for you and less of a mistake to get it in.
Posted 7 years ago
Stick the money in the middle.

One big thing about 70+ vpip players is they overvalue hands a ton. If they didn't, they wouldn't be playing 70% of hands Smile

That means he should show up with a lot of worse hands there including some TP, flush draws, straight draws in addition to the nutted hands like sets/AA. His range should be wide enough that I'm very happy getting it in here.
Posted 7 years ago
Sucks but gotta lose them monies sometimes. If he has T9, well, sheeeeeeeeit bro. He could do this with AT, hearts, JJ all sorts. I see this quite a lot with 3rd pair TK as well, which might be confirmation bias as I've spotted it a couple of times but guy thinks I can't call down so I'll raise to see where I am.