NL10 AA on monotone board

Posted 7 years agoEdited 7 years ago

WeakTight replay

Anonymous tables and no reads. Should I call the jam?
DoiC

Last Post 7 years ago by

DoiC

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Posted 7 years ago
Preflop I think we make it slightly too large. We have position and there has been a min raise, I would be making it 60-70 here. We want to encourage action with AA in position rather than discourage it.

Flop we are never folding here. I prefer calling here rather than raising and getting it in.

On the turn when he pots it again I am not folding. Are we going to be beat here sometimes? Absolutely. However, villain can definitely be doing this with worse as well, without any reads I would only be folding the turn if a fourth spade rolls off, or possibly if a K comes and he pots it again.
Posted 7 years ago
Post-flop it's tough what to do given we have no reads and it's a 3bet pot. I think you made the right play by folding the turn and here's why.

They are full stacked which makes me assume they are a reg. Given you can very well have QQ and KK-AA I don't think anyone is donking out with draws, it's most likely made flushes and sets. They pot bet sizing on flop and turn also make me lead their hand to value but are scared of getting out draw (flopped set or low flush).

I think you played it fine.
Posted 7 years ago
Turn should be a fold. Even the flop should probably be a hero-fold at these limits. Pot-size donk-bet after calling a 3bet from early. If he has it we are drawing more or less dead. If he doesn't have it, he is still going to have considerable equity with something like a flush draw. I would not fold if I had the As, but I highly doubt flop or turn call will be +EV here with bare Aces at these limits.
Posted 7 years ago
It's tough to make the fold on the flop but I'm definitely getting away on the turn. I doubt villain is bluffing so big with a bare As.

@w34z3l If we're sure that we're crushed on the turn how much difference does it make if we have the As ourself? We're obviously not getting odds to draw even if it does reduce the number of made flushes villain has in his range to begin with.
Posted 7 years ago
Well ..... we do get the odds to draw. This is because we beat some portion of his range anyway. Combined with our flush-draw equity it is enough. Whereas the part of our range that beats his is not enough on its own to make the call minus the FD.

Btw, you mentioned the blocker effect but it is not always clear how beneficial this is. True, we block his made flushes, but we are also potentially blocking a bunch of his bluffing range.
Posted 7 years ago
I believe this is an easy fold.

First of all villain is in BB, He is calling after UTG raise, and Buton 3bets. As I noticed, usually his range is mostly pocket pairs.
AK is probably 4beting and AQ probably folding. So I don't think he is on a flush draw.

Donking so big on this monotone board looks like a set and he wants to take as much money as he can from As. Without As is a fold flop too.