thetallpaul

Pre is a little loose but I don't think is terrible by any means. Flop I go for the raise with OESD and BDFD and get a call. Small donk on the turn I hate as could be nutted already but could also be blocking bet with Tx or spade draw so maybe should raise there.

Board pairs and he checks so can't have the nuts now after my flat he'd be betting for value. Bomb river as a bluff vs his small PP's, Tx and missed A high FD's? Sizing?

PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

BTN: $11.92 (VPIP: 37.31, PFR: 29.85, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 69)
SB: $9.20 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
BB: $17.42 (VPIP: 42.11, PFR: 31.58, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 19)
UTG: $15.63 (VPIP: 14.89, PFR: 8.51, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 49)
MP: $34.52 (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
Hero (CO): $16.18

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has Jd Qd
fold, MP raises to $0.25, Hero calls $0.25, fold, fold, fold

Flop : ($0.65, 2 players) Ts 3d Ks
MP bets $0.40, Hero raises to $1.20, MP calls $0.80

Turn : ($3.05, 2 players) 2c
MP bets $0.90, Hero calls $0.90

River : ($4.85, 2 players) Kh
MP checks, ?

Last Post 7 years ago by

w34z3l

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Pre is a bit loose, but if you have a plan then it can be made to work. Only 9 hands on villain though, which is what stands out the most.

I like the flop raise, especially with all the diamonds making good turn barrel cards.

I'm not sure about the turn. It screams pot controlling to me, but if we raise I'm not sure how much fold equity we have. Calling is obv +EV though.

River looks like a mandatory bluff with Q high, but all the draws missed so it might be a bit thin. I would still so with it though. He can fold ace high spade draws, some second pair type hands which got sticky with all the draws, and of course we avoid a chop with another QJ. He should also be betting Kx most of the time himself

IP on the flop I prefer a call. The K-high board will be pretty good for PFR so you're raising into a stronger range than you might be on other textures. If villain is cbet bluffing you have the opportunity to take it away from him on both the turn and river if he misses a bet so there's no hurry to do it on the flop.

When he lead the turn I think call will be best. You're getting really good odds and once he takes a bet/call bet line I don't think you have too much fold equity and it's pretty clear villain is a recreational player which often makes bluffing less attractive as well.

On river I expect him to bet a king especially after he took back initiative on the turn so I think it's an ok spot to bluff. Hopefully this type of villain has a fold button. I would go on the larger side since you don't want to let him make a light calldown with some oddly played 2nd pair or AQ AJ.

I would bluff for sure. Not sure if it needs to be super large or anything actually, since we can still fold out AJ/AQ/QJ/J9 etc etc. We'd probably need to run some calculations based on how big we need to bet to get him to fold 2nd pair and whether it's worth it in terms of EV. But my initial reaction is that we don't need to bomb river or anything to generate maxEV.

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