NL20 - 3b pot oop as agr - turn decision

Posted 7 years ago

https://www.weaktight.com/h/57be0353d39043212b8b4580?results=1&simple=1

Villain is a reg.
1,8k hand.
19/14. 3b:4,2.
3b from CO: 0.
Cold call CO: 5.
Call 3b CO: 36.
Fold to fcb in 3b pot: 64.
fergrberger

Last Post 7 years ago by

fergrberger

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Posted 7 years ago
Sucks donkey balls to have to fold AA in these type of spots but it looks like this guys the nittiest of nits and Im asuming its pretty unlikely that he jams semi bluffs like 89s or something like 99.

The reality is he probably has all set combos plus straight and 2 pair combos and likely doesn't jam anything worse so Im making a tight fold.
Posted 7 years ago
Yes, against this player type it's quite an easy fold for me. I expect them to just call along with all their 1 pair/over pair hands, raise with two pair or better and to raise next to nothing as a bluff.

I'm folding the turn.
Posted 7 years ago
Im folding on that turn vs this guy without any info that he can transform in bluff some hands like 99 or TT in 3b pots. I dont think he have hands like 109s or 89s as a 3b call maybe he calls all the pairs he opens. Im just wondering if he 4b QQ,KK or AA preflop. That would change the fold decision.
Posted 7 years ago
Easy fold on the turn for me. At these stakes if a villain thinks his overpair is good to stack in a 3 bet pot then he'll choose the flop nearly every time over a turn jam.

Way too many sets,two pairs and straights to be happy getting it in.
Posted 7 years ago
Pre: I would have raised slightly larger here but no more than 1-2BB's more.

Flop: I would be betting flop here a decent bit larger. There are a ton of overpairs to extract value from and his strong broadway are probably going to be folding to any sizing anyway. I would be going around £4 with the intention of stacking off if raised.

Turn: I like betting again here for value, getting jammed on sucks though obviously. This guy seems very nitty though so I'm wondering how clear cut a fold this is. I would expect 33 to almost certainly be folding pre, I would have though a player with these types of stats is folding a decent amount of his PP's that are 77 or worse. This leaves 88 for his value jams. 2 pair combos are possible but again not overly likely for someone playing these kinds of nitty preflop ranges. He could potentially be jamming 99 after picking up the open ender, and may have just decided he is going with his other stronger overpairs as well. I think it's definitely going to be close between the two options, given the price we are getting I probably just click call but I would not argue heavily against the fold either.