NL25 ATs

Posted 8 years ago

How wide you call a triple barrel from a nitty looking player here? I feel like I overvalue TP here too much and think folding is best.

PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

CO: $26.85 (VPIP: 15.54, PFR: 12.16, 3Bet Preflop: 6.12, Hands: 152)
BTN: $48.60 (VPIP: 26.83, PFR: 17.07, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 41)
SB: $28.74 (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 28)
Hero (BB): $47.24
UTG: $18.05 (VPIP: 62.75, PFR: 13.73, 3Bet Preflop: 15.63, Hands: 51)

SB posts SB $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has Ts As
fold, CO raises to $0.62, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.37

Flop : ($1.34, 2 players) 7d 6c Ad
Hero checks, CO bets $0.76, Hero calls $0.76

Turn : ($2.86, 2 players) 5s
Hero checks, CO bets $1.63, Hero calls $1.63

River : ($6.12, 2 players) Ks
Hero checks, CO bets $3.00, ?
Komododragonjesus

Last Post 8 years ago by

Komododragonjesus

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Posted 8 years ago
Well the way I look at this is, what is he triple barreling that I beat?

AJ, AQ,and AK beat us, and a few lower aces too, I just think we have to fold. I know it sucks and sometimes we feel we're having to fold too much.

In this situation when I just see I beat A8 and A9 which would not 3 barrel, I'd have to fold.
Posted 8 years ago
I'm mucking AT come the river it's never good against a 15/12 on the river. I'd think about folding the turn (but never would) and prett much give up on the river if they lead out again.

Not expecting this player to value bet worse or be running a big bluff.
Posted 8 years ago
I like a call call fold line and the fact villain is tight makes it more of a fold. I think in general A-high boards get bluffed less since nobody expects players to fold top pair. Lets take a look at what he can be bluffing on this runout.

Any FD of course, some 8x 9x 4x maybe but I think those check often and then just random hands like JTo that without a read I wouldn't think he's betting.

It's worth noting that 98 gets there on the turn and K-high flush draws are unlikely to triple barrel so that cuts into his bluffing hands.

Meanwhile in value town... AA 77 66 some 55 (might bet the flop), AK AQ AJ AT-A8 (maybe) A7 A6 A5 98 87 86 76. That's A LOT of value hands and you only beat the very thin ones.