NL50, river spot

Posted 7 years ago

vs reg, BBvBU resteel 15. 27/23 with 7.1 tot 3bet.

Do we call or jam? Or even 3bet turn?

Hand Conversion Powered by WeakTight Poker Hand History Converter
$0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem 888
3 Players

Blinds$0.25/$0.503
DHero $50
SB Player1 $50.25
BB Player2 $51.13
Preflop
3$0.75Hero is BTNQ8
Hero raises to $1, Player1 folds, Player2 calls $0.50
Flop
2$2.2596T
Player2 checks, Hero bets$1.26, Player2 calls $1.26
Turn
2$4.77J
Player2 checks, Hero bets$3.25, Player2 raises to $13, Hero calls$9.75
River
2$30.773
Player2 bets $15, Hero ???
MilfGrinder

Last Post 7 years ago by

MilfGrinder

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Posted 7 years ago*
I'd personally be getting this hand in on the turn by jamming over their raise. River I'd go ahead and shove as they have more sets/two pair combos than KQ and it's 3-way.
Posted 7 years ago
If somebody is restealing 15% there is a fairly reasonable chance that they will be threebetting KQ here with a pretty high frequency so while it definitely is a consideration, I would be almost always looking to get stacks in this hand. The turn raise indicates a decent amount of strength and our villain can have a decent number of 2 pair combos plus Qx for a pair and an open ender that is drawing dead to the chop, along with a couple of sets and potentially a flopped straight as well.

River I am certainly jamming, I'm not sure if I prefer shipping it in on the turn though. I think the Qx type hands will be folding to a jam here and even some of his two pair combos could potentially find a fold given how much strength we have shown. With this in mind I think it is probably better to flat turn, then ship it in on the river.
Posted 7 years ago
I would go for the turn jam.

It's not a given that villain will raise that flop with his sets or 87, and it's reasonable to assume he can still want to raise sets on the turn even with straights out there because we have all the Q+pair combos which are calling.
Posted 7 years ago
About the turn jam - do you have any bluffs you jam here as well? I don't really bluff jam anything here, so isn't jamming vs decent reg very exploitative?
Posted 7 years ago
I dont think you need to worry about being balanced in this spot, If anything villain can have some semi bluffs that have turned some added equity as well as the hands for value that the guys have mentioned above.

In this case you want to be jamming to get max value here and now as there are plenty of scare cards that can come on the river and kill your action. We also need to charge villain to realise his equity if he is semi bluffing.

Jam all straights on the turn, call with 2 pair and sets then re asses river.
Posted 7 years ago
Im getting in on turn to get value from 2p, sets and 87 str8 . Also agree with curl-1 there will be a lots of scary cards for you and for him also and he will fold his 2p, sets. Your are blocking the Q so less combos for him to have KQ.
Posted 7 years ago
Thanks guys! Gonna jam on turn from now on.