Quinine

Hello guys, This hand so sick for me.. I called on the river because maybe he bluff me that I missed FD and maybe he has AJ,JJ,QQ,KK,.. I am not sure.. How would you play..? and Why ? here 4bet / fold is option ?

HAND

Last Post 8 years ago by

shakpablo

Posts

1,886

Views

Copy post URL

https://www.pokervip.com/thread/view?forum=poker-strategy&slug=tpgk-vs-sb-3bet-pot-otr&nav=56bdeb94d390433e258b45e1

Probably a good idea to fold to the river triple barrel for exploitative reasons. It's true he might be bluffing sometimes, but it's unlikely he'll be bluffing at a high enough frequency that we can profitably call.

Seeing as he won't likely be 3barrelling worse for value we basically just a hold a bluff-catcher here, so the only thing we are interested in is whether he bluffs at a high enough frequency.

Thank you very much.. I have another one question.. which stats are important for decision on the river or general stats ?

Feel like we're going to see AK so often here.

The draws missed but our hand looks like Ax and I don't think a reg is ever going to try and bluff us off that.

As for which stats to look for on the river. Agg factor, river cbet % and their W$SD stats.

Hey Harvie,

" Agg factor, river cbet % and their W$SD stats." , what's the avarage % ?

Against 3 barrels if you can't beat TPTK here I'd end up folding. I just don't see AJ or less playing this way.
He has AK to much here anyway.

I think we just have to fold the river here. He can have some bluffs for sure but not enough to warrant a call.

In a 3bet pot on stealing situations, i will call here, because people can do 3 barrels bluffs assuming you will 4bet with AK or AA. If this is another spot like mp vs co, i would have fold the river.

Regards

Add your "Room Name" username and register with PokerVIP