Unibet 4€ HU SNG bluffcatching

Posted 8 years ago

Villain has been pretty aggro in the 20 or so hands we've played together. He's shoved over my limp 13bb effective before. Here the blinds are 60-30 and we're about 14.5bb effective.

Preflop: Hero is BB with K10
SB raises to 120, Hero calls 60

Flop: (240) 810A
Hero checks, SB bets 100, Hero calls 100

Turn: (440) A
Hero checks, SB bets 150, Hero calls 150

River: (740) 6
Hero checks, SB bets 770 and is all in, Hero?

Here's my reasoning: When the flop comes all spades I decide to check call my pair. His small sizing strikes me as odd, especially since I've seen him half pot and 3x pre in the few hands we've played before this one. I think his range would include mostly 8x and 10x hands + any hand with a spade. I don't see him as the type of player to slow play a made flush in a spot like this.

When the ace pairs on the turn, I'm about 90% he doesn't hold an ace. Again his weak sizing strikes me as odd, don't think he would take this line and bet so small with a made flush. Now that I'm holding top 2 pairs with K kicker, I'm very happy to check call with the plan to check call pretty much any river that isn't a spade.

When the river bricks, I expect him to check back most of the time. When he shoves with what is really a pot sized bet I really don't believe that he's holding a flush. I see maybe only 66 being played this way by him, most Ax or bigger pocket I think he would have raised bigger pre flop. Maybe a hand like 79 with a spade would play this way but I'm really not buying it. On a paired board with 3 to a flush, I feel like this bet is very polarizing. Mostly missed draws and full house with maybe a few air hands and maybe some A2o-A4o thrown in there too.

What do you guys think? Our stack on the river is 490 so we're getting 2.51 on our money.
Turlock

Last Post 8 years ago by

Turlock

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Posted 8 years ago
Given your thought process and read on betting big with big hands I think it's fine. Can I ask what they jammed over your limp with?
Posted 8 years ago
At this point the only other hand that has gone to showdown was when he min raised pre and cbetted half pot with QJ on a 8QA and gave up on K turn.
Posted 8 years ago
I'm far from a heads-up expert but I'll offer my advice.

Pre: This seems like it should be a rejam vs his min raise to me, our hand will have a ton of equity when called but we should expect to see our three bet get through very frequently also.

Flop: As played, I like flat calling here. Raising does not accomplish a massive amount here so check calling seems good to me.

Turn: The A is obviously a great card for us here, I would be leaning towards a jam here given the shallow stacks. Our hand figures to be ahead pretty damn often here and we can get called by a ton of pair+flush draws that we have good equity against.

River: As played I am calling here, folding seems completely out of the question when stacks are this shallow and we have a decent two pair in a heads up match where our opponent can be bluffing all sorts of missed draws.
Posted 8 years ago
I feel indifferent between jamming or calling pre. Either looks fine.

Flop looks standard.

I agree with @fergrberger about shoving turn. I doubt at this stage he's ever folding a spade or worse Tx with what's left behind.

On the river when the flush whiffs I could never bring myself to fold.